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New publication on strategic voting for threshold parties

Black and white photo of Annika Fredén. Photo.

In the 2022 Swedish General Election, the Liberal party was in danger of not reaching parliamentary representation, but finally succeeded to make it to parliament. How opinion polls affect this kind of voting is the focus in a new publication by Annika Fredén together with colleagues at Chalmers and the University of Gothenburg, published in International Journal of Public Opinion Research (IJPOR).

A starting point in the study is that it matters if the party explicitly states that it wants a position in government. It will also matter If the party is a fringe or a centre party. The authors evaluate experimentally how distinct levels of opinion polls affect voting for smaller parties. 

Authors: Annika Fredén, Bastiaan Bruinsma, Nora Theorin och Henrik Oscarsson 

Title: Insurance voting in the Centre:  An Experimental Approach

Link: Insurance Voting in the Centre: An Experimental Approach | International Journal of Public Opinion Research | Oxford Academic (oup.com)

Annika Fredén — Lund University